How on-chain prediction markets work and settle.
What a swap actually does with your coins — the full guide to this subject.
To track your prediction market profit and loss (P&L) across multiple blockchains, you must manually aggreg...
When a prediction market enters a dispute, open positions remain frozen - they cannot be traded, redeemed, ...
The three major on-chain prediction market platforms - Polymarket, Azuro, and SX Bet - charge fees in funda...
A validity bond is a deposit that a prediction market creator must lock up to ensure they submit truthful r...
Gas fees can destroy the profitability of small prediction market positions, often costing more than the po...
When a prediction market displays "resolving" on Polymarket or similar platforms, it means the outcome dete...
A fake prediction market front-end is a website that looks like a legitimate platform (such as Polymarket, ...
When two oracles disagree on the outcome of a prediction market, the market enters a dispute resolution pro...
To verify an oracle's resolution data on-chain, you read the relevant blockchain transaction where the orac...
A conditional token is a digital asset that represents a specific outcome in a prediction market, entitling...
Liquidity providers (LPs) in on-chain prediction markets earn fees by depositing collateral into automated ...
A failed transaction on Polymarket almost always comes down to one of a handful of causes: insufficient fun...
If a prediction market expires with no trades, the outcome is straightforward: all open interest is zero be...
A Polymarket order book looks like a standard exchange order book, but the numbers represent probabilities,...
You check a swap site is real by verifying its domain name character by character, reading independent disc...
You need three things ready: a wallet that holds the crypto you want to swap, a receiving address for the c...
A memo (sometimes called a destination tag) is a short string of numbers or letters that tells the receivin...
One dollar's worth, or the minimum allowed by the source chain's network rules - whichever is larger. That ...
First, wait. Then check the transaction on the blockchain. Most "missing" swaps are simply waiting for conf...
The deposit address is the temporary wallet that the swap site generates for you to send your coins into. I...
The address you send coins to is generated on the spot by the exchanger, specifically for your single swap....
The receiving address is generated by the swap site’s system at the moment you start a swap. It belongs to ...
The Gnosis Conditional Token Framework (CTF) is the infrastructure beneath many on-chain prediction markets...
A binary prediction market lets you bet on a yes-or-no outcome. Will the Federal Reserve cut rates by Septe...
Polymarket is a prediction market platform where users trade binary outcomes on real-world events. This wal...
Collateral custody exists on a spectrum. At one end, fully non-custodial systems hold user funds entirely i...
Any prediction market platform that allows anyone to create a market must solve a basic problem: spam. A us...
The oracle submits wrong data. This is the nightmare scenario for every prediction market participant. It h...
The most serious risk in any on-chain prediction market is a smart contract exploit that drains the market'...
A YES share trading at 0.63 USDC *implies* a 63% probability. That is the simplest version of the relations...
A prediction market needs a way to settle. Someone must report what actually happened. That job falls to or...
Dispute resolution is the weakest link in any prediction market. A market is only as trustworthy as the mec...
If you trade on prediction markets, the stablecoin you hold as collateral is not a neutral choice. It deter...
Send exactly to:
This asset needs a memo / tag. Send it with or the exchanger cannot credit your deposit.
You receive about at . Exchange reference .
Status: waiting for your deposit
You send from your own wallet straight to the exchanger — nothing to connect, no account, and you stay on this page throughout. Rates are indicative until a swap is opened.
The swap is carried out by an independent exchanger and the deposit address above is theirs. wswap.site never holds, receives or controls your funds, has no key to that address, and earns a referral commission. Opening a swap sends your receiving address, IP, browser and timezone to the exchanger for their compliance checks; we store none of it. Check their terms, fees and country restrictions before sending anything.
To track your prediction market profit and loss (P&L) across multiple blockchains, you must manually aggregate data from each chain’s explorer, your wallet’s transaction history, and the specific market interfaces you used, because no single cross-chain dashboard currently provides a complete, verif
When a prediction market enters a dispute, open positions remain frozen - they cannot be traded, redeemed, or settled until the dispute is resolved. Your shares still represent a claim on the outcome, but you cannot act on that claim during the dispute period. The market effectively pauses, and all
The three major on-chain prediction market platforms - Polymarket, Azuro, and SX Bet - charge fees in fundamentally different ways. Polymarket takes a flat taker fee per trade. Azuro embeds fees into the odds via a liquidity provider spread. SX Bet charges a small percentage on winning bets only. No
A validity bond is a deposit that a prediction market creator must lock up to ensure they submit truthful resolution information when the market ends. If the creator reports an outcome that matches what actually happened, the bond is returned. If they report falsely or fail to report at all, the bon
Gas fees can destroy the profitability of small prediction market positions, often costing more than the position itself. When you trade on-chain prediction markets like those built on Polymarket's framework, every transaction - buying, selling, or settling - incurs Ethereum network fees. For a $10
When a prediction market displays "resolving" on Polymarket or similar platforms, it means the outcome determination process has started but is not yet complete. No payout appears until the resolution process finishes and the market contract finalizes. The delay typically lasts from a few hours to s
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Your trade happens inside the exchange's own ledger. Nothing touches the blockchain until you withdraw.
You swap from your own wallet. The transaction settles on the chain and you pay its fee.
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Prices are sourced from third parties and may be delayed or wrong. Verify anything you intend to act on against a primary source.