How on-chain prediction markets work and settle.
What a swap actually does with your coins — the full guide to this subject.
When two oracles disagree on the outcome of a prediction market, the market enters a dispute resolution pro...
To verify an oracle's resolution data on-chain, you read the relevant blockchain transaction where the orac...
A conditional token is a digital asset that represents a specific outcome in a prediction market, entitling...
Liquidity providers (LPs) in on-chain prediction markets earn fees by depositing collateral into automated ...
A failed transaction on Polymarket almost always comes down to one of a handful of causes: insufficient fun...
If a prediction market expires with no trades, the outcome is straightforward: all open interest is zero be...
A Polymarket order book looks like a standard exchange order book, but the numbers represent probabilities,...
You check a swap site is real by verifying its domain name character by character, reading independent disc...
You need three things ready: a wallet that holds the crypto you want to swap, a receiving address for the c...
A memo (sometimes called a destination tag) is a short string of numbers or letters that tells the receivin...
One dollar's worth, or the minimum allowed by the source chain's network rules - whichever is larger. That ...
First, wait. Then check the transaction on the blockchain. Most "missing" swaps are simply waiting for conf...
The deposit address is the temporary wallet that the swap site generates for you to send your coins into. I...
The address you send coins to is generated on the spot by the exchanger, specifically for your single swap....
The receiving address is generated by the swap site’s system at the moment you start a swap. It belongs to ...
The Gnosis Conditional Token Framework (CTF) is the infrastructure beneath many on-chain prediction markets...
A binary prediction market lets you bet on a yes-or-no outcome. Will the Federal Reserve cut rates by Septe...
Polymarket is a prediction market platform where users trade binary outcomes on real-world events. This wal...
Collateral custody exists on a spectrum. At one end, fully non-custodial systems hold user funds entirely i...
Any prediction market platform that allows anyone to create a market must solve a basic problem: spam. A us...
The oracle submits wrong data. This is the nightmare scenario for every prediction market participant. It h...
The most serious risk in any on-chain prediction market is a smart contract exploit that drains the market'...
A YES share trading at 0.63 USDC *implies* a 63% probability. That is the simplest version of the relations...
A prediction market needs a way to settle. Someone must report what actually happened. That job falls to or...
Dispute resolution is the weakest link in any prediction market. A market is only as trustworthy as the mec...
If you trade on prediction markets, the stablecoin you hold as collateral is not a neutral choice. It deter...
Send exactly to:
This asset needs a memo / tag. Send it with or the exchanger cannot credit your deposit.
You receive about at . Exchange reference .
Status: waiting for your deposit
You send from your own wallet straight to the exchanger — nothing to connect, no account, and you stay on this page throughout. Rates are indicative until a swap is opened.
The swap is carried out by an independent exchanger and the deposit address above is theirs. wswap.site never holds, receives or controls your funds, has no key to that address, and earns a referral commission. Opening a swap sends your receiving address, IP, browser and timezone to the exchanger for their compliance checks; we store none of it. Check their terms, fees and country restrictions before sending anything.
When two oracles disagree on the outcome of a prediction market, the market enters a dispute resolution process that ultimately determines which oracle's data is accepted as correct. The specific mechanism depends on the platform, but the general pattern involves escalating the disagreement to a hig
To verify an oracle's resolution data on-chain, you read the relevant blockchain transaction where the oracle submitted its outcome, cross-check that data against the smart contract's stored resolution, and confirm it matches the real-world event you expected. The process is straightforward but requ
A conditional token is a digital asset that represents a specific outcome in a prediction market, entitling its holder to a payout only if that outcome occurs. Think of it as a claim check: you own it, you present it when the event settles, and if your prediction was correct, you receive the underly
Liquidity providers (LPs) in on-chain prediction markets earn fees by depositing collateral into automated market maker (AMM) pools that facilitate trading of outcome shares. When traders swap shares in these pools, a small fee is charged on each trade, and that fee is distributed proportionally to
A failed transaction on Polymarket almost always comes down to one of a handful of causes: insufficient funds for gas, a price impact or slippage limit that was exceeded, an expired approval, a nonce conflict, or a wallet signature that was rejected or timed out. The block explorer will show the tra
If a prediction market expires with no trades, the outcome is straightforward: all open interest is zero because none exists, and the market simply closes without any payouts, losses, or settlements. No one wins or loses because no one held any shares. The market creator, however, still faces the co
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Your trade happens inside the exchange's own ledger. Nothing touches the blockchain until you withdraw.
You swap from your own wallet. The transaction settles on the chain and you pay its fee.
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